Like other commodities, manganese has not fared well in 2015.

 

The steelmaking metal has had a challenging year, largely due to the downturn in China. Metal Bulletin’s 37 Percent Manganese Ore index currently comes in at $1.48 per dry manganese tonne, and according to the publication, it’s down 52 percent since the start of the year.

 

Low manganese prices are impacting market participants in various ways. For instance, on December 14, South African manganese ore producer Tshipi e Ntle announced plans to slash its 2016 exports by 30 percent. The company will also be cutting its permanent staff by 60 percent. Tshipi cited “challenging market conditions” as the reason for the cutbacks, explaining, “[n]o medium grade producer can produce manganese profitably at these prices.”

 

Tshipi isn’t the only manganese-focused company that’s made lay offs this year. Earlier in December, South32 (ASX:S32) announced plans to cut 447 jobs at its South African manganese mine. South32 is a spin off of mining giant BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP,NYSE:BHP,LSE:BLT), and it produces manganese, silver, nickel and coking coal — according to Reuters Africa, those are some of the “industrial mainstays that have been hardest hit globally in the way of China’s economic slowdown.”

 

South32 is in the process of reviewing its manganese operations in South Africa. The review is expected to be completed towards the end of December, with operations unlikely to restart until January.

Manganese outlook in 2016

On the manganese flake front, some traders feel that short-term prices are not as doom and gloom as for other manganese products. For the short term, Metal Bulletin notes that some traders are feeling bullish “in light of destocking ahead of the year-end, and amid reports of delayed shipments.”

 

But on the medium-grade side, the outlook is less positive. As Metal Bulletin notes, South Africa has seen an increase in its medium-grade exports — they’ve risen roughly 10 times in the last 10 years. Unfortunately, demand has not followed due to weakness in the crude steel industry. As Tshipi told Metal Bulletin, “[i]t is unlikely that the market in 2016 will be able to absorb the current levels of production of South African medium-grade manganese ore.”

 

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