Weekly Commentary on Ferrosilicon Market (8.31-9.4)

  • Friday, September 4, 2020
  • Source:ferro-alloys.com

  • Keywords:Ferrosilicon futures spot
[Fellow]In the first week of September, the ferrosilicon market continued stable. The tender volumes, together with the rising tender price, boosted the confidence of the industry.
 
[Market information] HBIS Group released ferrosilicon 72# tender volume at 2780 tons, 445 tons more than last month, and first round inquiry price at 6000 yuan per ton, second round of inquiry price at 6050 yuan per ton.

[Spot market] In the first week of September, the ferrosilicon market continued stable. The tender volumes, together with the rising tender price, boosted the confidence of the industry. The downstream demand increased, the spot inventory was low, the low-price goods were hard to find, and the manufacturers had strong willingness to support the price. According to market news, some factories in Ningxia began to avoid peak production, which is expected to affect the monthly output of 13000 tons. According to Ferro-alloys.com, there are factories in Ningxia and Anyang with the quoted price of 75% ferrosilicon above 6000 yuan per ton. However, the probability of price rising sharply in the later period is relatively small. It is expected that the price will continue to operate stably in the short term. We should pay attention to the supply-demand relationship and the change of futures market.

[Ferrosilicon futures 2010 contract] Opening price of ferrosilicon futures 2010 contract of this week was 5,748, highest price was 5,924, lowest price was 5,672, closing price was 5,686 and the settlement price was 5,710. The positions were 50,360 and the trading volumes were 433,708.

[Steel market] Data show that in the week of August 28, the weekly output of rebar decreased by 43500 tons to 3806200 tons on a month on month basis, with a year-on-year increase of 9%. Although there was a certain reduction, it was still at a high level. The total inventory has continued to rise since the beginning of June. In the week of August 28, the social inventory of rebar continued to increase by 112600 tons to 8780800 tons, an increase of 2.69 million tons on a year-on-year basis; the steel mill inventory also continued to increase by 132000 tons to 3806400 tons, with a year-on-year increase of 1107400 tons. Steel production and inventory continued high, will bring pressure to the market. On the other hand, the high temperature and rainy weather in the past did not affect the performance of rebar, not only the off-season was not light, but also continuously set a new high. With the advent of peak season, the follow-up demand has certain support.

[Metal magnesium market] The terminal demand continues to be weak, the export market is depressed, and the price of magnesium remains low. However, recently, the price of ferrosilicon has risen strongly, and some factories are willing to stabilize the market. It is expected that the decline rate will be narrowed in the near future. Current cash quotation including tax of 99.9% magnesium ingots in Fugu area was around 12700 yuan per ton.

 
 
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The 17th China Ferro-Alloys International Conference
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  • [Editor:kangmingfei]

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